Basketball advanced stats, explained without the jargon

Points per game rewards whoever takes the most shots. Advanced stats exist to ask a better question: how much did each shot, and each possession, actually produce?

Shooting efficiency

Effective field goal percentage gives a three-pointer its extra value: (field goals made + 0.5 × threes made) ÷ field goal attempts.

True shooting percentage goes further and counts free throws: points ÷ (2 × (field goal attempts + 0.44 × free throw attempts)). The 0.44 approximates how many possessions free throws use, allowing for and-ones and technicals.

Pace and per-possession numbers

A team that plays fast gets more possessions, so its raw totals look bigger. Pace measures possessions per 48 minutes. Offensive and defensive rating turn everything into points per 100 possessions, which lets you compare a fast team with a slow one fairly.

The four factors

Analyst Dean Oliver argued that winning comes down to four things, in roughly this order of importance:

• Shooting — effective field goal percentage.
• Turnovers — possessions lost without a shot.
• Rebounding — share of available offensive rebounds.
• Free throws — how often a team gets to the line.

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